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A Bayesian method for estimating traffic flows based on plate scanning

delete2012-11-09
delete36
PRE
AI
E
Enrique Castillo *
P
Pilar Jiménez
M
María Nogal
DOI:10.1007/s11116-012-9443-4delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
In this paper a special conjugate Bayesian method, for reconstructing and estimating traffic flows, based on alpha-shifted-Gamma models is given. If the numbers of users traveling through different routes are assumed to be independent variables with common the link, origin-destination (OD) and node flows are also random variables. We assume that the main source of information is plate scanning, which permits us to identify, totally or partially, the vehicle route, OD and link flows by scanning their corresponding plate numbers at an adequately selected subset of links. The reconstruction of the sample flows can be done exactly or approximately, depending on the intensity of the plate scanning sampling procedure. To this end a generalized least squares technique is used together with the conservation laws. A Bayesian approach using special conjugate families is proposed that allows us to estimate different traffic flows, such as route, OD-pair, scanned link or counted link flows. A detailed description of how the prior assessment, the sampling, the posterior updating and the obtention of the Bayesian distribution is given. Finally, one example of application is used to illustrate the methods and procedures.
Keyword:
Shifted-Gamma distribution
Conjugate priors
Prior assessment of hyperparameters
Origin-destination and link flow estimation

期刊

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Transportation
IF:
3.3
论文数:
2.1K
被引数:
7.1K

机构

U
Universidad de Cantabria
学者数:
6.9K
论文数: 6.1K
被引数: 7.0K
U
Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha
学者数:
9.9K
论文数: 9.1K
被引数: 7
引用论文

引用论文

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Observability in traffic networks. Plate scanning added by counting information
err2012-02-17
err25
PREAI
errCastillo, Enrique; Rivas, Ana; Jimenez, Pilar; Maria Menendez, Jose
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The observability problem in traffic network models
err2008-02-12
err105
PREAI
errCastillo, Enrique; Conejo, Antonio J.; Maria Menendez, Jose; Jimenez, Pilar
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