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A multiscale model for multivariate time series forecasting

delete2025-01-10
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Vahid Naghashi
M
Mounir Boukadoum
A
Abdoulaye Baniré Diallo *
DOI:10.1038/s41598-024-82417-4delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
Transformer based models for time-series forecasting have shown promising performance and during the past few years different Transformer variants have been proposed in time-series forecasting domain. However, most of the existing methods, mainly represent the time-series from a single scale, making it challenging to capture various time granularities or ignore inter-series correlations between the series which might lead to inaccurate forecasts. In this paper, we address the above mentioned shortcomings and propose a Transformer based model which integrates multi-scale patch-wise temporal modeling and channel-wise representation. In the multi-scale temporal part, the input time-series is divided into patches of different resolutions to capture temporal correlations associated with various scales. The channel-wise encoder which comes after the temporal encoder, models the relations among the input series to capture the intricate interactions between them. In our framework, we further design a multi-step linear decoder to generate the final predictions for the purpose of reducing over-fitting and noise effects. Extensive experiments on seven real world datasets indicate that our model (MultiPatchFormer) achieves state-of-the-art results by surpassing other current baseline models in terms of error metrics and shows stronger generalizability.
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期刊

Scientific Reports 封面图
Scientific Reports
IF:
3.9
论文数:
28.3W
被引数:
83.5W

机构

U
university of quebec
学者数:
2.0W
论文数: 1.9W
被引数: 19
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