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A self-contained model-based predictive control framework for HVAC systems using sequential proactive system identification

delete2026-05-05
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H
H. Burak Gunay *
H
Harry Vallianos
F
Farid Bahiraei
D
Darwish Darwazeh
J
Jayson Bursill
M
Mohamed Ouf
DOI:10.1016/j.enbuild.2026.117587delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
• Proactive system identification enables automated inverse model training. • Disturbances representing solar and casual heat gains are estimated as time-variant parameters. • SARIMA models forecast disturbances for MPC. • MPC shifts HVAC loads away from on-peak electricity periods. • Heating and cooling costs reduced by 12% and 15%, respectively.
Keywords:
Model-based predictive control
Data-driven models
System identification
Disturbance forecasting
Automated demand response
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Energy and Buildings cover
Energy and Buildings
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7.1
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6.8W

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Carleton University
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N
national research council
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Concordia University
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