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Adaptive water resource planning using decision-rules
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DOI：10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103961.png)
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摘要
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Dealing with uncertainty in water resource planning is problematic because insufficient or underused infrastructure can have social and environmental costs. Multistage stochastic optimisation provides a mechanism to deal with this challenge in water supply capacity expansion planning. However, for real systems it can be mathematically hard and computationally expensive. The 'Decision-rule' formulation represents an attempt to remedy this by approximating the multistage problem where decisions at each stage are a function of the uncertainty and the state of the system. We introduce a family of rules to show how they approximate the multistage problem and investigate the implications of the approximation for adaptive water resources planning.
Keyword:
Decision rule
Adaptive water resource planning
Decision making under uncertainty
Multistage stochastic
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