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Ambiguity without a state space

delete2008-01-01
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PRE
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Ahn, David S. *
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-937X.2007.00473.xdelete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
Many decisions involve both imprecise probabilities and intractable states of the world. Objective expected utility assumes unambiguous probabilities; subjective expected utility assumes a completely specified state space. This paper analyses a third domain of preference: sets of consequential lotteries. Using this domain, we develop a theory of objective ambiguity without explicit reference to any state space. We characterize a representation that integrates a non-linear transformation of first-order expected utility with respect to a second-order measure. The concavity of the transformation and the weighting of the measure capture ambiguity aversion. We propose a definition for comparative ambiguity aversion.
Keyword:
SUBJECTIVE-PROBABILITY
UNCERTAINTY AVERSION
QUANTUM-MECHANICS
EXPECTED UTILITY
DECISION-MAKING
PREFERENCES
DEFINITION
FLEXIBILITY
LOTTERIES
AXIOM
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期刊

Review of Economic Studies 封面图
Review of Economic Studies
IF:
6.4
论文数:
2.5K
被引数:
2.1W

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