.png){kind=icon}
返回
.png){kind=icon}
.png){kind=icon}
摘要
En 中文
What are the predictions of climate models, should we believe them, and are they falsifiable? Probably the most iconic and influential result arising from climate models is the prediction that, dependent on the rate of increase of CO2 emissions, global and annual mean temperature will rise by around 2-4 degrees C over the 21st century. We argue that this result is indeed credible, as are the supplementary predictions that the land will on average warm by around 50% more than the oceans, high latitudes more than the tropics, and that the hydrological cycle will generally intensify. Beyond these and similar broad statements, however, we presently find little evidence of trustworthy predictions at fine spatial scale and annual to decadal timescale from climate models. (C) 2014 The Authors. WIREs Climate Change published by JohnWiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keyword:
NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION
UNCERTAINTY
ENSEMBLES
FORECAST
SKILL
AI总结
对已上传原文的论文进行重点信息的提取，主要内容包括：简要概述、研究摘要、背景介绍、关键亮点、图文解析、展望与总结。
期刊
IF:
10.3
论文数:
870
被引数:
8.7K
机构
引用论文
.png){kind=icon}
分享.png){kind=icon}
收藏Reliability of multi-model and structurally different single-model ensembles.png)
CLIMATE DYNAMICS.png)
OAAI
CLIMATE DYNAMICSIF3.7
OAAI分享收藏
查看更多内容