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Coordinated Evolution of Urban Functional Upgrading and Industrial Transformation in China’s Resource-Based Cities: Spatiotemporal Patterns, Spatial Spillovers, and Driving Factors
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DOI：10.3390/land15081447.png)
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Abstract
En 中文
China’s resource-based cities are undergoing a dual transition in which industrial restructuring reshapes the economic foundations of urban development, while urban functional renewal, in turn, conditions the capacity and trajectory of industrial transformation. Based on panel data for 102 resource-based cities from 2013 to 2023, this study constructs a dual-system framework of urban functional upgrading and industrial transformation. The entropy method, coupling coordination degree model, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and spatial Durbin model are used to measure synergistic evolution, identify spatiotemporal patterns, and examine driving factors and spatial spillovers. The results show that both systems improved during the study period, but their evolutionary rhythms were not fully synchronized. The level of synergistic evolution increased steadily, although most cities remained at a relatively low coordination stage, with higher values in central areas and lower values in peripheral areas. Significant spatial dependence is observed for urban functional upgrading, industrial transformation, and their synergistic evolution. The spatial econometric results indicate that environmental-regulation attention, population density, human capital, digital infrastructure, and social consumption capacity play differentiated roles, with social consumption capacity showing the most stable positive association. Robustness tests confirm the reliability of the main findings. This study provides empirical evidence for differentiated governance and coordinated transformation in resource-based cities.
Keywords:
resource-based cities
urban functional upgrading
industrial transformation
synergistic evolution
spatial Durbin model
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2.5W
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