arrow
返回

Data-Driven Dam Outflow Prediction Using Deep Learning with Simultaneous Selection of Input Predictors and Hyperparameters Using the Bayesian Optimization Algorithm

delete2023-12-01
delete6
PRE
AI
V
Vinh Ngoc Tran
D
Duc Dang Dinh
B
Binh Duy Huy Pham
D
Dinh Kha Dang
T
Trần Ngọc Anh
H
Ha Nguyen Ngoc
T
Tien Giang Nguyen *
DOI:10.1007/s11269-023-03677-9delete
delete原文链接
delete原文求助
delete分享
delete收藏
摘要

摘要

En 中文
Reservoirs and dams are critical infrastructures that play essential roles in flood control, hydropower generation, water supply, and navigation. Accurate and reliable dam outflow prediction models are important for managing water resources effectively. In this study, we explore the application of three deep learning (DL) algorithms, i.e., gated recurrent unit (GRU), long short-term memory (LSTM), and bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), to predict outflows for the Buon Tua Srah and Hua Na reservoirs located in Vietnam. An advanced optimization framework, named the Bayesian optimization algorithm with a Gaussian process, is introduced to simultaneously select the input predictors and hyperparameters of DLs. A comprehensive investigation into the performance of three DLs in multistep-ahead prediction of outflow of two dams shows that all three models can predict the reservoir outflow accurately, especially for short lead-time predictions. The analysis results based on the root mean square error, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, and Kling-Gupta efficiency indicate that BiLSTM and GRU are the most suitable models to diagnose the outflow of Buon Tua Srah and Hua Na reservoirs, respectively. Conversely, the results of the similarity assessment of 11 hydrological signatures show that LSTM outperforms BiLSTM and GRU in both case studies. This result emphasizes the importance of determining the purpose and objective function when choosing the best model for each case study. Ultimately, these results strengthen the potential of DL for efficient and effective reservoir outflow predictions to help policymakers and operators manage their water resource system operations better.
Keyword:
Dam outflow prediction
Long short-term memory
Input predictor selection
Hyperparameter optimization

期刊

Water Resources Management 封面图
Water Resources Management
IF:
4.7
论文数:
8.1K
被引数:
1.6W

机构

V
vietnam national university hanoi (vnu hanoi) system
学者数:
4.0K
论文数: 2.5K
被引数: 2
V
vnu university of science (vnu-hus)
学者数:
643
论文数: 470
被引数: 1
U
University of Michigan
学者数:
6.4W
论文数: 5.3W
被引数: 124
U
university of michigan system
学者数:
9.1W
论文数: 8.6W
被引数: 133
学者 查看更多机构
引用论文

引用论文

A novel attention-based LSTM cell post-processor coupled with bayesian optimization for streamflow prediction
err2021-10-01
err118
PREAI
errAlizadeh, Babak; Bafti, Alireza Ghaderi; Kamangir, Hamid; Zhang, Yu; Wright, Daniel B.; Franz, Kristie J.
err分享
err收藏
Simulating Reservoir Operation Using a Recurrent Neural Network Algorithm
err2019-04-25
err51
errOAAI
errZhang, Di; Peng, Qidong; Lin, Junqiang; Wang, Dongsheng; Liu, Xuefei; Zhuang, Jiangbo
err分享
err收藏
Pattern of pediatric ocular trauma in India
err2002-10-01
err0
PREAI
errRohit Saxena; Rajesh Sinha; Amitabh Purohit; Tanuj Dada; Rasik B. Vajpayee; Raj V. Azad
err分享
err收藏
Daily water level forecasting using wavelet decomposition and artificial intelligence techniques
err2015-01-01
err248
PREAI
errSeo, Youngmin; Kim, Sungwon; Kisi, Ozgur; Singh, Vijay P.
err分享
err收藏
Taking the Human Out of the Loop: A Review of Bayesian Optimization将人类带出循环: 贝叶斯优化的回顾
err2016-01-01
err3.5K
PREAI
errShahriari, Bobak; Swersky, Kevin; Wang, Ziyu; Adams, Ryan P.; de Freitas, Nando
err分享
err收藏
Evaluation of Nitrate Load Estimations Using Neural Networks and Canonical Correlation Analysis with K-Fold Cross-Validation
err2020-01-03
err27
errOAAI
errJung, Kichul; Bae, Deg-Hyo; Um, Myoung-Jin; Kim, Siyeon; Jeon, Seol; Park, Daeryong
err分享
err收藏
Artificial intelligence based models for stream-flow forecasting: 2000-2015
err2015-11-01
err409
PREAI
errYaseen, Zaher Mundher; El-Shafie, Ahmed; Jaafar, Othman; Afan, Haitham Abdulmohsin; Sayl, Mhamis Naba
err分享
err收藏
学者 查看更多内容