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Defining probabilistic evacuation triggers for wildfires using an ensemble of flame spread models: The Fort McMurray case study

delete2026-07-02
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OA
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N
Nikolaos Kalogeropoulos *
G
Guillermo Rein
DOI:10.1016/j.firesaf.2026.104912delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
• Probabilistic trigger boundaries are calculated through wildfire and evacuation models. • Model assumptions affect the location of the trigger boundaries, and the perceived safety of a community. • Ensemble studies mitigate the flaws of individual model predictions.
Keywords:
Modeling
Wildfire
WUI
Ensemble
Simulation
Fire
Safety
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Journal

Fire Safety Journal cover
Fire Safety Journal
IF:
3.3
Papers:
3.3K
Citations:
9.6K

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