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Defining probabilistic evacuation triggers for wildfires using an ensemble of flame spread models: The Fort McMurray case study
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DOI:10.1016/j.firesaf.2026.104912.png)
Abstract
En 中文
• Probabilistic trigger boundaries are calculated through wildfire and evacuation models. • Model assumptions affect the location of the trigger boundaries, and the perceived safety of a community. • Ensemble studies mitigate the flaws of individual model predictions.
Keywords:
Modeling
Wildfire
WUI
Ensemble
Simulation
Fire
Safety
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