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Discovering catastrophic weather risks

delete2026-09-10
delete0
PRE
AI
T
Tom Matthews *
T
Tom Wood
H
Hebe Nicholson
J
Jenix Justine
S
S. J. Beard
R
Radley M. Horton
F
Frans Berkhout
J
Joe P. L. Davidson
M
Maria Vittoria Gargiulo
C
Constantin W. Arnscheidt
E
E. M. R. Paguican
M
Maximillian Van Wyk de Vries
P
Pauline Sophie Heinrichs
R
Robin Noyelle
V
Viktor Roezer
F
Faith E. Taylor
N
Nausheen H. Anwar
E
Emma R. Moffett
D
Daoping Wang
P
Pengfei Yuan
L
Luke Kemp
DOI：10.1038/s41893-026-01929-1delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
气候变化是人类未来面临的最大挑战之一，极端天气的恶化是人们关注的焦点。最极端的天气事件不成比例地加剧了风险，因为它们占总体影响的很大份额，并能引发连锁后果。然而，我们预测此类事件的能力有限。在本篇展望中，我们呼吁开展更具针对性的研究，将人类的想象力与对影响相关系统（包括极端气候状态）可能性的深入理解相结合，以帮助识别并避免气候变化带来的灾难性后果。随着地球气候的变化，极端天气正变得更为常见。本篇展望认为，那些超出以往记录的最具灾难性的极端事件必须被考虑并做好应对准备，以避免产生剧烈影响。

期刊

Nature Sustainability 封面图
Nature Sustainability
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27.1
论文数:
1.9K
被引数:
2.5W

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L
Loughborough University
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9.9K
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columbia university
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5.8K
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E
eth zürich
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2.4K
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被引数: 1
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International Institute for Environment and Development
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15
论文数: 12
被引数: 545
K
king's college london
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5.7K
论文数: 2.8K
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U
university of cambridge
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8.3K
论文数: 3.9K
被引数: 3
M
moody's/rms
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2
论文数: 1
被引数: 0
U
university of salerno
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2.5K
论文数: 971
被引数: 0
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