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Dividends, earnings, and predictability

delete2017-05-01
delete10
PRE
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S
Stig V. Møller *
M
Magnus Sander
DOI:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2017.02.008delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
We show that the dividend yield and earnings yield jointly are strong predictors of dividend growth. We motivate the joint specification with a theoretical model and show how omitting the earnings yield biases the dividend yield coefficient towards zero, explaining why the dividend yield by itself is a poor predictor of dividend growth. Our empirical results are robust in pre- and post-war U.S. data, in recessions and expansions, in international data, and when controlling for additional predictors. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keyword:
Dividend yield
Earnings yield
Dividend growth predictability
Omitted variable bias
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期刊

J
Journal of Banking and Finance
IF:
3.8
论文数:
6.4K
被引数:
2.4W

机构

C
creates
学者数:
72
论文数: 84
被引数: 0
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