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Dynamic treatment effects
DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.12.001.png)
摘要
En 中文
This paper develops robust models for estimating and interpreting treatment effects arising from both ordered and unordered multi-stage decision problems. Identification is secured through instrumental variables and/or conditional independence (matching) assumptions. We decompose treatment effects into direct effects and continuation values associated with moving to the next stage of a decision problem. Using our framework, we decompose the IV estimator, showing that IV generally does not estimate economically interpretable or policy-relevant parameters in prototypical dynamic discrete choice models, unless policy variables are instruments. Continuation values are an empirically important component of estimated total treatment effects of education. We use our analysis to estimate the components of what LATE estimates in a dynamic discrete choice model. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keyword:
Choice theory
Dynamic treatment effects
Factor models
Marginal treatment effects
Regret
Conditional independence
Matching on mismeasured variables
Instrumental variables
Ordered choice models
Unordered choice models
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期刊
IF:
4
论文数:
5.2K
被引数:
3.0W
机构
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