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Evaluating Impact Using Time-Series Data

delete2021-03-01
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OA
AI
H
Hannah S. Wauchope *
T
Tatsuya Amano
J
Jonas Geldmann
A
Alison Johnston
B
Benno I. Simmons
W
William J. Sutherland
J
Julia P. G. Jones
DOI:10.1016/j.tree.2020.11.001delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
Humanity's impact on the environment is increasing, as are strategies to conserve biodiversity, but a lack of understanding about how interventions affect ecological and conservation outcomes hampers decision-making. Time series are often used to assess impacts, but ecologists tend to compare average values from before to after an impact; overlooking the potential for the intervention to elicit a change in trend. Without methods that allow for a range of responses, erroneous conclusions can be drawn, especially for large, multi-time-series datasets, which are increasingly available. Drawing on literature in other disciplines and pioneering work in ecology, we present a standardised framework to robustly assesses how interventions, like natural disasters or conservation policies, affect ecological time series.
Keyword:
SEGMENTED REGRESSION
PROTECTED AREAS
BACI
FRAGMENTATION
PROGRAM
ECOLOGY
DESIGNS
TERM
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期刊

T
Trends in Ecology and Evolution
IF:
17.3
论文数:
4.4K
被引数:
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Bangor University
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125
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