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How to make causal inferences using texts

delete2022-10-21
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OA
AI
N
Naoki Egami
C
Christian Fong
J
Justin Grimmer *
M
Margaret E. Roberts *
B
Brandon Stewart *
DOI:10.1126/sciadv.abg2652delete
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摘要

摘要

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Text as data techniques offer a great promise: the ability to inductively discover measures that are useful for testing social science theories with large collections of text. Nearly all text-based causal inferences depend on a latent representation of the text, but we show that estimating this latent representation from the data creates underacknowledged risks: we may introduce an identification problem or overfit. To address these risks, we introduce a split-sample workflow for making rigorous causal inferences with discovered measures as treatments or outcomes. We then apply it to estimate causal effects from an experiment on immigration attitudes and a study on bureaucratic responsiveness.
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