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Inferences in panel data with interactive effects using large covariance matrices
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DOI：10.1016/j.jeconom.2017.05.014.png)
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We consider efficient estimation of panel data models with interactive effects, which relies on a high dimensional inverse covariance matrix estimator. By using a consistent estimator of the error covariance matrix, we can take into account both cross-sectional correlations and heteroskedasticity. In the presence of cross-sectional correlations, the proposed estimator eliminates the cross-sectional correlation bias, and is more efficient than the existing methods. The rate of convergence is also improved. In addition, we find that when the statistical inference involves estimating a high-dimensional inverse covariance matrix, the minimax convergence rate on large covariance estimations is not sufficient for inferences. To address this issue, a new doubly weighted convergence result is developed. The proposed method is applied to the US divorce rate data. We find that our more efficient estimator identifies the significant effects of divorce-law reforms on the divorce rate, and provides tighter confidence intervals than existing methods. This provides a confirmation for the empirical findings of Wolfers (2006) under more general unobserved heterogeneity. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keyword:
High dimensionality
Unknown factors
Conditional sparsity
Thresholding
Cross-sectional correlation
Heteroskedasticity
Optimal weight matrix
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OPTIMAL RATES OF CONVERGENCE FOR SPARSE COVARIANCE MATRIX ESTIMATION稀疏协方差矩阵估计的最优收敛速度.png)
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