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Modeling multifunctional landscape change in southern Kenya: Spatial trade-offs and drivers in an arid and semi-arid landscape
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DOI：10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103959.png)
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Abstract
En 中文
• Simulated LULC change in a multifunctional arid landscape. • LULC change shaped by a dynamic interplay of environment, tenure, and spatial context. • Model achieved 83% accuracy with spatially clustered prediction errors. • Spatial biases in model performance consistent with contextual social-political factors. • Transitions in humid–arid ecotones were consistently underestimated. • Scenario modeling reveals socio-political dynamics in land transitions.
Keywords:
Land-use change
Drylands
Spatial modeling
Land tenure
Trade-offs
Kenya
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