arrow
返回

Modeling Ocean Cooling Induced by Tropical Cyclone Wind Pump Using Explainable Machine Learning Framework

delete2024-01-01
delete1
delete
OA
AI
H
Hongxing Cui
D
Danling Tang *
H
Huizeng Liu
H
Hongbin Liu
Y
Yi Sui
Y
Yangchen Lai
X
Xiaowei Gu
DOI:10.1109/TGRS.2024.3358374delete
delete原文链接
delete原文求助
delete分享
delete收藏
摘要

摘要

En 中文
Tropical cyclones (TCs), with an intensive wind pump impact, induce sea surface temperature cooling (SSTC) on the upper ocean. SSTC is a pronounced indicator to reveal TC evolution and oceanic conditions. However, there are few effective methods for accurately approximating the amplitude of the spatial structure of TC-induced SSTC. This study proposes a novel explainable machine learning framework to model and interpret the amplitude of the spatial structure of SSTC over the northwest Pacific (NWP). In particular, 12 predictors related to TC characteristics and pre-storm ocean states are considered as inputs. A composite analysis technique is used to characterize the amplitude of the spatial structure of SSTC across the TC track. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) is utilized to predict the amplitude of SSTC from the 12 predictors. To better interpret the ocean-atmosphere interaction, a SHapely Additive explanations (SHAP) method is further employed to identify the contributions of predictors in determining the amplitude of the TC-induced SSTC, bringing the attribute-oriented explainability to the proposed method. The results showed that the proposed method could accurately predict the amplitude of the spatial structure of SSTC for different TC intensity groups and outperforms a numerical model. The proposed method also serves as an effective tool for reconstructing composite maps of both interannual and seasonal evolutions of SSTC spatial structure. The study offers insight into applying machine learning to model and interpret the responses of oceanic conditions triggered by extreme weather conditions (e.g., TCs).
Keyword:
Oceans
Biological system modeling
Atmospheric modeling
Sea surface
Machine learning
Spatial resolution
Predictive models
Explainable machine learning
sea surface temperature cooling (SSTC)
tropical cyclone (TC)
wind pump

期刊

IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing 封面图
IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing
IF:
8.6
论文数:
2.1W
被引数:
10.7W

机构

H
Hong Kong Baptist University
学者数:
6.3K
论文数: 7.5K
被引数: 1.3W
S
southern marine science & engineering guangdong laboratory
学者数:
3.2K
论文数: 2.1K
被引数: 0
D
Dalhousie University
学者数:
2.0W
论文数: 1.8W
被引数: 2.3W
学者 查看更多机构
引用论文

引用论文

Prediction of the Indian summer monsoon using a stacked autoencoder and ensemble regression model
err2021-01-01
err22
PREAI
errSaha, Moumita; Santara, Anirban; Mitra, Pabitra; Chakraborty, Arun; Nanjundiah, Ravi S.
err分享
err收藏
err分享
err收藏
The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation systemERA-过渡再分析: 数据同化系统的配置和性能
err2011-04-28
err2.1W
errOAAI
errDee, D. P.; Uppala, S. M.; Simmons, A. J.; Berrisford, P.; Poli, P.; Kobayashi, S.; Andrae, U.; Balmaseda, M. A.; Balsamo, G.; Bauer, P.; Bechtold, P.; Beljaars, A. C. M.; van de Berg, L.; Bidlot, J.; Bormann, N.; Delsol, C.; Dragani, R.; Fuentes, M.; Geer, A. J.; Haimberger, L.; Healy, S. B.; Hersbach, H.; Holm, E. V.; Isaksen, L.; Kallberg, P.; Koehler, M.; Matricardi, M.; McNally, A. P.; Monge-Sanz, B. M.; Morcrette, J. -J.; Park, B. -K.; Peubey, C.; de Rosnay, P.; Tavolato, C.; Thepaut, J. -N.; Vitart, F.
err分享
err收藏
Suicidal Behaviors Within Army Units
err2017-09-01
err0
PREAI
errCharles W. Hoge; Christopher G. Ivany; Amy B. Adler
err分享
err收藏
Evaluation of a training to improve management of pediatric overweight
err2005-01-01
err0
PREAI
errJosephine Hinchman; Luke Beno; David Dennison; Frederick Trowbridge
err分享
err收藏
学者 查看更多内容