MODELING PEAK ELECTRICITY DEMAND

doi:10.1002/for.3980110306

2006-11-02

106

PRE

Robert F. Engle *

Chowdhury Mustafa

John Rice

DOI：10.1002/for.3980110306

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摘要

En 中文

This paper estimates a forecasting equation for the hourly peak electricity demand one day in the future. The models incorporate deterministic influences such as holidays, stochastic influences such as average loads by building bivariate models, and exogenous influences such as the weather which is given a careful non-linear formulation. Out-of-sample comparisons are made using an additional year of data.

Keyword:

ELECTRICITY DEMAND

PEAK LOADS

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期刊

Journal of Forecasting

IF:

2.7

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2.3K

被引数:

3.0K

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