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On the nonlinear interaction between global teleconnection patterns

delete2006-12-29
delete9
PRE
AI
V
V. N. Khokhlov
А
А. В. Глушков
Н
Н. С. Лобода
DOI:10.1256/qj.05.05delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
Processes of nonlinear interaction between teleconnection patterns are addressed. Evidence of chaotic behaviour for the relationship between the Arctic Oscillation (AO), the Southern Oscillation (SO), and the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) is examined using cross-redundancy and Granger causality. The analysis is carried out for three epochs of the twentieth century, during which different trends of global temperature were observed. To study the influence of low-frequency variations, a wavelet decomposition is applied. Presented results display many well-known features of feedbacks between climate change and observed trends in the indices of teleconnection patterns. By using wavelet detail components, some behaviour is revealed as being particularly pure. At the same time, some findings require considerable further work, especially the apparent nonlinear interaction between the AO and the AAO. Our results are encouraging for the prospects of a useful model describing climate changes at the decadal and centurial time-scales.
Keyword:
cross-redundancy
Granger causality
teleconnection
wavelet decomposition
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期刊

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 封面图
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
IF:
2.9
论文数:
5.8K
被引数:
2.4W

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