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Option Return Predictability

delete2021-06-08
delete29
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OA
AI
X
Xintong Zhan
B
Bing Han *
曹杰 (Jie Cao)
Q
Qing Tong
DOI:10.1093/rfs/hhab067delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
We uncover new return predictability in the cross-section of delta-hedged equity options. Expected returns to writing delta-hedged calls are negatively correlated with stock price, profit margin, and firm profitability, but positively correlated with cash holding, cash flow variance, new shares issuance, total external financing, distress risk, and dispersion of analysts' forecasts. Our option portfolio strategies have annual Sharpe ratio above two and remain profitable after transaction costs. Their profits can be explained by two option factors, while equity risk factors have no explanatory power. We find support for several economic channels at work, yet the option return predictability remains puzzling.
Keyword:
G02
G12
G13

期刊

Review of Financial Studies 封面图
Review of Financial Studies
IF:
5.4
论文数:
2.8K
被引数:
3.0W

机构

F
fudan university
学者数:
11.8W
论文数: 7.7W
被引数: 121
C
Chinese University of Hong Kong
学者数:
3.4W
论文数: 3.2W
被引数: 5.6W
U
university of toronto
学者数:
14.7W
论文数: 12.0W
被引数: 165
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