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Predictive maintenance of complex system with multi-level reliability structure

delete2017-03-10
delete39
PRE
AI
D
Dongjin Lee
R
Rong Pan *
DOI:10.1080/00207543.2017.1299947delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
Onboard sensors, which constantly monitor the states of a system and its components, have made the predictive maintenance (PdM) of a complex system possible. To date, system reliability has been extensively studied with the assumption that systems are either single-component systems or they have a deterministic reliability structure. However, in many realistic problems, there are complex multi-component systems with uncertainties in the system reliability structure. This paper presents a PdM scheme for complex systems by employing discrete time Markov chain models for modelling multiple degradation processes of components and a Bayesian network (BN) model for predicting system reliability. The proposed method can be considered as a special type of dynamic Bayesian network because the same BN is repeatedly used over time for evaluating system reliability and the inter-time-slice connection of the same node is monitored by a sensor. This PdM scheme is able to make probabilistic inference at any system level, so PdM can be scheduled accordingly.
Keyword:
Reliability evaluation
Markov modelling
maintenance planning
Bayesian network
predictive maintenance
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期刊

International Journal of Production Research 封面图
International Journal of Production Research
IF:
7.3
论文数:
1.1W
被引数:
3.7W

机构

A
Arizona State University
学者数:
2.7W
论文数: 2.5W
被引数: 4.2W
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