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Prescriptive price optimization using optimal regression trees

delete2023-12-01
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OA
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S
Shunnosuke Ikeda *
N
Naoki Nishimura
N
Noriyoshi Sukegawa
Y
Yuichi Takano
DOI:10.1016/j.orp.2023.100290delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
This paper is concerned with prescriptive price optimization, which integrates machine learning models into price optimization to maximize future revenues or profits of multiple items. The prescriptive price optimization requires accurate demand forecasting models because the prediction accuracy of these models has a direct impact on price optimization aimed at increasing revenues and profits. The goal of this paper is to establish a novel framework of prescriptive price optimization using optimal regression trees, which can achieve high prediction accuracy without losing interpretability by means of mixed-integer optimization (MIO) techniques. We use the optimal regression trees for demand forecasting and then formulate the associated price optimization problem as a mixed-integer linear optimization (MILO) problem. We also develop a scalable heuristic algorithm based on the randomized coordinate ascent for efficient price optimization. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of our method for price optimization and the computational efficiency of the heuristic algorithm.
Keyword:
Price optimization
Demand forecasting
Regression tree
Mixed-integer optimization
Coordinate ascent
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期刊

Operations Research Perspectives 封面图
Operations Research Perspectives
IF:
3.7
论文数:
282
被引数:
951

机构

H
Hosei University
学者数:
953
论文数: 1.1K
被引数: 718
U
University of Tsukuba
学者数:
1.8W
论文数: 1.5W
被引数: 1.7W
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