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Projected Dynamic Conditional Correlations

delete2023-10-01
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J
Jordi Llorens-Terrazas *
C
Christian T. Brownlees
DOI:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.06.003delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
We propose a novel specification of the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model based on an alternative normalization of the pseudo-correlation matrix called Projected DCC (Pro-DCC). Our modification consists in projecting, rather than rescaling, the pseudo-correlation matrix onto the set of correlation matrices in order to obtain a well defined conditional correlation matrix. A simulation study shows that projecting performs better than rescaling when the dimensionality of the correlation matrix is large. An empirical application to the constituents of the S&P 100 shows that the proposed methodology performs favorably to the standard DCC in an out-of-sample asset allocation exercise.(c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of International Institute of Forecasters. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Keywords:
Multivariate volatility
DCC
Bregman projection
Nearest-correlation matrix
Stein's loss
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Journal

International Journal of Forecasting cover
International Journal of Forecasting
IF:
7.1
Papers:
3.1K
Citations:
9.9K

Organization

P
Pompeu Fabra University
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Citations: 11