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Quiet bubbles

delete2013-12-01
delete41
PRE
AI
H
Hong, Harrison
D
David Sraer *
DOI:10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.07.002delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
Motivated by the recent subprime mortgage crisis, we explore whether speculative bubble models of equity based on investor disagreement and short-sales constraints can also provide an explanation for the overvaluation of debt contracts. We find that this is unlikely. Equity bubbles are loud: price and volume go together as investors speculate on capital gains from reselling to more optimistic investors. But this resale option is limited for debt since its upside payoff is bounded. Debt bubbles then require an optimism bias among investors. But greater optimism leads to less speculative trading as investors view the debt as safe and having limited upside. Debt bubbles are hence quiet high price comes with low volume. We find the predicted price-volume relationship of credits over the 2003-2007 credit boom. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keyword:
Bubbles
Credit
Asset prices
Turnover

期刊

Journal of Financial Economics 封面图
Journal of Financial Economics
IF:
12
论文数:
3.8K
被引数:
5.5W

机构

P
Princeton University
学者数:
2.1W
论文数: 2.3W
被引数: 5.1W
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