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Real-time traffic estimation using data expansion

delete2011-08-01
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PRE
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R
Roger Lederman *
L
Laura Wynter
DOI:10.1016/j.trb.2011.05.024delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
This paper presents a method for estimating missing real-time traffic volumes on a road network using both historical and real-time traffic data. The method was developed to address urban transportation networks where a non-negligible subset of the network links do not have real-time link volumes, and where that data is needed to populate other real-time traffic analytics. Computation is split between an offline calibration and a real-time estimation phase. The offline phase determines link-to-link splitting probabilities for traffic flow propagation that are subsequently used in real-time estimation. The real-time procedure uses current traffic data and is efficient enough to scale to full city-wide deployments. Simulation results on a medium-sized test network demonstrate the accuracy of the method and its robustness to missing data and variability in the data that is available. For traffic demands with a coefficient of variation as high as 40%, and a real-time feed in which as much as 60% of links lack data, we find the percentage root mean square error of link volume estimates ranges from 3.9% to 18.6%. We observe that the use of real-time data can reduce this error by as much as 20%. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keyword:
Traffic equilibrium
Real-time traffic analytics
Bilevel programming
OD matrix estimation
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期刊

Transportation Research Part B-Methodological 封面图
Transportation Research Part B-Methodological
IF:
6.3
论文数:
3.5K
被引数:
1.9W

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C
Columbia University
学者数:
7.1W
论文数: 6.4W
被引数: 263
I
international business machines (ibm)
学者数:
5.7K
论文数: 4.5K
被引数: 4
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