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Risk and Uncertainty Communication

delete2017-03-07
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PRE
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David Spiegelhalter *
DOI:10.1146/annurev-statistics-010814-020148delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
This review briefly examines the vast range of techniques used to communicate risk assessments arising from statistical analysis. After discussing essential psychological and sociological issues, I focus on individual health risks and relevant research on communicating numbers, verbal expressions, graphics, and conveying deeper uncertainty. I then consider practice in a selection of diverse case studies, including gambling, the benefits and risks of pharmaceuticals, weather forecasting, natural hazards, climate change, environmental exposures, security and intelligence, industrial reliability, and catastrophic national and global risks. There are some tentative final conclusions, but the primary message is to acknowledge expert guidance, be clear about objectives, and work closely with intended audiences.
Keyword:
psychology
gambling
graphics
public engagement
evidence
climate change
reliability
AI总结

AI总结

对已上传原文的论文进行重点信息的提取,主要内容包括:简要概述、研究摘要、背景介绍、关键亮点、图文解析、展望与总结。

期刊

Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application 封面图
Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application
IF:
8.7
论文数:
211
被引数:
2.4K

机构

U
University of Cambridge
学者数:
7.7W
论文数: 7.1W
被引数: 13.7W
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