The Substitute for p-Values

doi:10.1080/01621459.2017.1311264

2017-10-30

PRE

William M. Briggs *

DOI：10.1080/01621459.2017.1311264

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摘要

En 中文

If it was not obvious before, after reading McShane and Gal, the conclusion is that p-values should be proscribed. There are no good uses for them; indeed, every use either violates frequentist theory, is fallacious, or is based on a misunderstanding. A replacement for p-values is suggested, based on predictive models.

Keyword:

Cause

Model selection

p-Values

Philosophy of probability

Variable selection