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Turkey's Electricity Consumption Forecasting Using Genetic Programming

delete2011-08-09
delete21
PRE
AI
M
Mehmet Çunkaş *
U
Uğur Taşkıran
DOI:10.1080/15567240903047558delete
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摘要

摘要

En 中文
Turkey's energy demand has been increasing rapidly as a result of rapid urbanization and industrialization. The energy investment requirement will be US$130 billion by the year 2020. Electricity energy has a vital importance among the energy sector. In this study the current state of the electricity energy production and consumption of Turkey is investigated and the electricity energy consumption is forecasted by using genetic algorithm. The obtained results are compared with conventional regression analyses techniques, and the estimated values of the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources. The electricity demand in the year 2020 is estimated to be 315.02 billion kWh compared to the 189.52 billion kWh needed in the year 2007.
Keyword:
electricity consumption
energy forecasting
genetic programming
Turkey
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期刊

Energy Sources Part B-Economics Planning and Policy 封面图
Energy Sources Part B-Economics Planning and Policy
IF:
2.2
论文数:
1.1K
被引数:
1.5K

机构

S
Selcuk University
学者数:
4.5K
论文数: 4.4K
被引数: 53
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