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A diagnostic framework for interpreting spatiotemporal probabilistic forecasts

delete2026-06-05
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PRE
AI
K
Kouao Laurent Kouadio
R
Rong Liu
K
Kouamé Gbèlè Hermann Loukou
W
Wenxiang Liu
Z
Zhanhui Qing
Z
Zhuo Liu *
DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2026.107052delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
• A diagnostic framework is introduced to interpret spatially distributed probabilistic forecasts beyond aggregate summary scores. • A consistent map–polar visual grammar compares interval width, interval exceedance, horizon drift, and quantile shape. • In the Zhongshan land-subsidence case study, similar median forecast fields coexist with markedly different uncertainty structures.

Journal

E
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
IF:
4.6
Papers:
191
Citations:
0

Organization

U
universite polytechnique de man
Scholars:
2
Papers: 1
Citations: 0
C
central south university
Scholars:
1.7W
Papers: 5.0K
Citations: 3
G
guangdong geological bureau
Scholars:
3
Papers: 3
Citations: 0
S
stanford university
Scholars:
9.2K
Papers: 3.6K
Citations: 0
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