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A hybrid process-data driven framework for real-time hydrological forecasting with interpretable deep learning

delete2025-08-14
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PRE
AI
F
Feilin Zhu *
O
Ou Zhu
M
Mingyu Han
W
Weifeng Liu
X
Xuning Guo
T
Tiantian Hou
L
Lingqi Zhao
C
Chengjing Xu
P
Ping-an Zhong
DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134082delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
• The hybrid XAJ-LSTM model improves hydrological forecasting accuracy. • Bayesian inference enhances uncertainty quantification and risk assessment. • Shapley Additive Explanations improve model interpretability by revealing key variables. • The framework is adaptable to both process-based and data-driven models. • The hybrid model outperforms standalone models in accuracy and reliability.
Keywords:
hybrid XAJ-LSTM model
Bayesian inference
Shapley Additive Explanations
hydrological forecasting
uncertainty quantification

Journal

Journal of Hydrology cover
Journal of Hydrology
IF:
6.3
Papers:
2.3W
Citations:
9.8W

Organization

H
Hohai University
Scholars:
2.3W
Papers: 1.8W
Citations: 2.1W