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A multivariate GARCH-jump mixture model

delete2023-09-11
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OA
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C
Chenxing Li *
J
John M. Maheu
DOI:10.1002/for.3019delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
This paper proposes a new parsimonious multivariate GARCH-jump (MGARCH-jump) mixture model with multivariate jumps that allows both jump sizes and jump arrivals to be correlated among assets. Dependent jumps impact the conditional moments of returns and beta dynamics of a stock. Applied to daily stock returns, the model identifies co-jumps well and shows that both jump arrivals and jump sizes are highly correlated. The jump model has better out-of-sample forecasts compared with a benchmark multivariate GARCH model.
Keywords:
beta dynamics
co-jump
jumps
multinomial
multivariate GARCH
value at risk

Journal

Journal of Forecasting cover
Journal of Forecasting
IF:
2.7
Papers:
2.3K
Citations:
3.0K

Organization

H
hunan university
Scholars:
4.5W
Papers: 3.3W
Citations: 70
M
McMaster University
Scholars:
3.6W
Papers: 3.3W
Citations: 4.4W
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