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Approximate Bayesian Computation and Simulation-Based Inference for Complex Stochastic Epidemic Models

delete2018-02-01
delete57
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OA
AI
T
Trevelyan J. McKinley *
I
Ian Vernon
I
Ioannis Andrianakis
N
Nicky McCreesh
J
Jeremy E. Oakley
R
Rebecca N. Nsubuga
M
Michael Goldstein
R
Richard G. White
DOI:10.1214/17-STS618delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) and other simulation-based inference methods are becoming increasingly used for inference in complex systems, due to their relative ease-of-implementation. We briefly review some of the more popular variants of ABC and their application in epidemiology, before using a real-world model of HIV transmission to illustrate some of challenges when applying ABC methods to high-dimensional, computationally intensive models. We then discuss an alternative approach-history matching-that aims to address some of these issues, and conclude with a comparison between these different methodologies.
Keywords:
Approximate Bayesian Computation
history matching
emulation
Bayesian inference
infectious disease models
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Journal

Statistical Science cover
Statistical Science
IF:
3.4
Papers:
1.0K
Citations:
8.7K

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D
Durham University
Scholars:
1.3W
Papers: 1.5W
Citations: 2.1W
U
University of Exeter
Scholars:
2.0W
Papers: 2.1W
Citations: 3.6W
L
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
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1.7W
Papers: 1.3W
Citations: 28
U
university of london
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21.5W
Papers: 19.7W
Citations: 305
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