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Breakeven Levelized Cost of Hydrogen for the Zero-Emission Freight Transition
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DOI：10.1016/j.etran.2026.100584.png)
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Abstract
En 中文
• Develops the Integrating Market Penetration and Cost Technologies (IMPACT) framework. • Projects LCOH declining from $11.51/kg (2025) to $4.26/kg (2050) under mature utilization conditions. • Identifies a breakeven LCOH band of $4.90–5.85/kg for heavy-duty FCEV–diesel TCO parity. • Quantifies hydrogen demand of 3,200 metric tons/day supported by 516 high-throughput stations by 2050. • Demonstrates utilization-driven scaling as a key mechanism shaping hydrogen competitiveness.
Keywords:
LCOH
FCEVs
hydrogen
stations
trucks
heavy-duty
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