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Construction Delay Prediction Model Using a Relationship-Aware Multihead Graph Attention Network

delete2025-05-01
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PRE
AI
F
Fatemeh Mostofi *
O
Onur Behzat Tokdemir
V
Vedat Toğan
DOI:10.1061/JMENEA.MEENG-6639delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
Existing machine learning (ML) delay prediction models cannot process dependencies among the construction progress records. This study investigates graph attention networks (GAT) incorporating multihead attention mechanisms for predicting construction delays. Leveraging an attention mechanism, GAT emphasizes differential node significance in networks and demonstrates the capability to learn input configurations. The data set was configured into six networks that linked records based on contractual alignment and spatial proximity dependency criteria. Under contractual alignments, predictions for electrical and concrete tasks achieved 65% and 76%, respectively, outperforming spatial-based predictions. However, multihead GAT with spatial networks delivered 77% for insulation tasks, overtaking 67% of contractual networks, underscoring model sensitivity to task dependencies and its applicability across a range of decision making contexts. Recognizing the dependencies and shared aspects among construction records, the proposed GAT model better reflects human understanding of construction progress reports, shifting the focus from mere predictive accuracy to representative modeling of construction delay.
Keywords:
Graph attention networks (GAT)
Multihead attention mechanism
Construction progress prediction
Delay prediction model
Project management
Schedule performance

Journal

J
Journal of Management in Engineering
IF:
7
Papers:
3.1K
Citations:
6.8K

Organization

K
karadeniz technical university
Scholars:
4.9K
Papers: 4.0K
Citations: 38
I
Istanbul Technical University
Scholars:
8.9K
Papers: 7.8K
Citations: 7.9K