Cross-State Strategic Voting

Dahl, Gordon B.

doi:10.1257/pol.20240630

Cross-State Strategic Voting

2026-02-01

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DOI：10.1257/pol.20240630

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We estimate that 3.1 percent of US voters, or 6.1 million individuals, were registered to vote in two states in 2020, opening up the possibility for them to choose where to vote. Double registrants are concentrated in the wealthiest zip codes and respond to both incentives and costs, disproportionately choosing to vote in swing states (higher incentive) and states that automatically send out mail-in ballots (lower cost). We call this behavior Cross-State Strategic Voting. While others have documented strategic incentives on who to vote for, this paper is the first to consider strategic incentives on where to vote. (JEL D63, D72, K16)

Keywords:

HABIT FORMATION

TURNOUT

VOTERS

FRAUD

COSTS

LAWS

Cross-State Strategic Voting

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