Data-Driven Chance-Constrained Planning for Distributed Generation: A Partial Sampling Approach

doi:10.1109/TPWRS.2022.3230676

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Data-Driven Chance-Constrained Planning for Distributed Generation: A Partial Sampling Approach

2023-11-01

DOI：10.1109/TPWRS.2022.3230676

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Abstract

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The planning of distributed energy resources has been challenged by the significant uncertainties and complexities of distribution systems. To ensure system reliability, one often employs chance-constrained programs to seek a highly likely feasible solution while minimizing certain costs. The traditional sample average approximation (SAA) is commonly used to represent uncertainties and reformulate a chance-constrained program into a deterministic optimization problem. However, the SAA introduces additional binary variables to indicate whether a scenario sample is satisfied and thus brings great computational complexity to the already challenging distributed energy resource planning problems. In this paper, we introduce a new paradigm, i.e., the partial sample average approximation (PSAA) using real data, to improve computational tractability. The innovation is that we sample only a part of the random parameters and introduce only continuous variables corresponding to the samples in the reformulation, which is a mixed-integer convex quadratic program. Our extensive experiments on the IEEE 33-Bus and 123-Bus systems show that the PSAA approach performs better than the SAA because the former provides better solutions in a shorter time in in-sample tests and provides better guaranteed probability for system reliability in out-of-sample tests. All the data used in the experiments are real data acquired from Pecan Street Inc. and ERCOT. More importantly, our proposed chance-constrained model and PSAA approach are general enough and can be applied to solve other valuable problems in power system planning and operations.

Keywords:

Planning

distributed energy resources

renewable distributed generation

energy storage

stochastic programming

chance-constrained programming

data-driven