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Estimating mean lifetime

delete2003-09-23
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OA
AI
J
John Bongaarts *
G
Griffith Feeney
DOI:10.1073/pnas.2035060100delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
The life expectancy implied by current age-specific mortality rates is calculated with life table methods that are among the oldest and most fundamental tools of demography. We demonstrate that these conventional estimates of period life expectancy are affected by an undesirable tempo effect. The tempo effect is positive when the mean age at death is rising and negative when the mean is declining. Estimates of the effect for females in three countries with high and rising life expectancy range from 1.6 yr in the U.S. and Sweden to 2.4 yr in France for the period 1980-1995.
Keywords:
VON FOERSTER EQUATION
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
CELLULAR SYSTEMS
POPULATION
FERTILITY
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Journal

P
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
IF:
9.1
Papers:
10.8W
Citations:
73.5W

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