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Generative adversarial network stopping for robust surrendering

delete2026-08-01
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PRE
AI
J
Jia, Bowen
L
Ling Wang *
H
Hoi Ying Wong
DOI:10.1016/j.ejor.2026.07.014delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
Accurate estimation of robust surrender behavior under model ambiguity is crucial for insurance companies. Existing analytical approaches are largely restricted to the Black-Scholes framework and low-dimensional settings. In this paper, we propose a generative adversarial network (GAN)-based approach to determine robust stopping rules for lapsing insurance products, with a particular focus on variable annuities. Our method is fully data-driven and readily extends to high-dimensional problems. We demonstrate its effectiveness using both simulated data and a real-world application.
Keywords:
Machine learning
Generative adversarial network
Optimal stopping problem
Deep neural network
Robust surrendering

Journal

European Journal of Operational Research cover
European Journal of Operational Research
IF:
6
Papers:
2.2W
Citations:
6.4W

Organization

C
Central University of Finance and Economics
Scholars:
135
Papers: 94
Citations: 0
C
city university of macau
Scholars:
210
Papers: 138
Citations: 0
C
Chinese University of Hong Kong
Scholars:
521
Papers: 231
Citations: 0
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Cited Papers

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Solving high-dimensional optimal stopping problems using deep learning
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