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Generative Artificial Intelligence for Managerial Foresight
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DOI：10.1016/j.futures.2026.103831.png)
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Abstract
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• This study examines how generative AI conditions the relationship between managerial foresight and innovative behavior. • We employ a mixed-methods design combining a 2×3 factorial experiment with 252 professionals and qualitative analysis. • Managerial foresight influences innovative behavior indirectly through cognitive engagement as a mediating mechanism. • Generative AI exhibits an inverse U-shaped moderating effect: moderate use supports cognitive engagement, whereas high and no use diminish it. • Calibrated GenAI integration strengthens the managerial foresight–innovation relationship by sustaining cognitive engagement.
Keywords:
Managerial Foresight
Artificial Intelligence
Decision making
Innovation
Innovative behavior
Behavioral strategy
ChatGPT
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