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Here comes the rain: Precipitation shocks and economic outcomes in Ecuador
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DOI：10.1016/j.worlddev.2026.107468.png)
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Abstract
En 中文
• Poverty impacts of precipitation shocks in Ecuador are heterogeneous across economic sectors. • Precipitation shocks raise the probability of falling below the poverty line in the primary (agriculture/mining) sector. • Poverty probability falls in the tertiary sector (commerce/services), consistent with recovery demand. • Impacts vary by urban–rural location, formality, and self-employment status. • Labor and household income are the key transmission channels. • Policy implication: prioritize primary-sector support and leverage recovery demand for services.
Keywords:
Precipitation shocks
Poverty dynamics
Economic sectors
Income transmission
Policy implications
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