.png){kind=icon}
.png){kind=icon}
Return
Hindcast Body Temperature Reveals Sites of Amplified Thermal Risk in Global Coastlines
.png){kind=icon}
OA
AI
L
A
G
X
B
Y
DOI：10.1029/2025EF007645.png)
.png){kind=icon}
.png){kind=icon}
Share.png){kind=icon}
Save
Abstract
En 中文
Identifying regions where organisms are most (and least) vulnerable to climate change remains a key focus in ecological research. However, accurately capturing the thermal stress experienced by many, if not most, organisms is challenging because body temperature, which determines physiological performance, is driven by multiple environmental factors. We hindcasted hourly body temperatures of intertidal mussels globally using a modified heat budget model and assessed thermal risks (extreme temperatures and heatwaves) and hotspots based on body temperature. Results indicated that 98.34% of global coastal mussel populations faced at least one thermal risk factor, and 45.14% are subjected to the compounding effects of four or more thermal risk factors. Regions such as the Mediterranean coast and the northeastern coast of South America face a high and stacking thermal risk. Most thermal risk metrics exhibited a patchy, mosaic distribution. Semi-enclosed topography and western boundary currents are thermal risk amplifiers, making organisms in these regions more vulnerable than those in other regions of the same latitude. Our research demonstrates the utility of hindcast body temperature in integrating multiple thermal metrics to assess global thermal risks.
Keywords:
climate change
heat budget model
intertidal musse
risk assessment
heatwave
body temperature
AI Summary
Key information extracted from the uploaded paper, including a brief overview, abstract, background, key highlights, visual analysis, and future outlook.
Journal
E
IF:
8.2
Papers:
1.8K
Citations:
1.1W
Organization
Cited Papers