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How do human factors affect the explanatory power of driver models? A methodology for comparative model assessment and validation

delete2026-05-28
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V
Vincenzo Punzo *
D
Davide Iannelli
A
Andrea Saltelli
M
Marcello Montanino
DOI:10.1016/j.trb.2026.103466delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
• Aggregate error distributions are shown to yield indeterminate model rankings. • We introduce trajectory-level pairwise calibration tests and normalised relative error metric for fair model comparison. • Verisimilitude and total sensitivity indices quantify the accuracy-robustness trade-off as model complexity increases. • 800 models are compared, obtained by augmenting IDM-family models with human factors. • We introduce a new IDM variant, the M-IDM, which outperforms all IDM-family models.
Keywords:
Driver models
Human factors
Adaptive driving
Verisimilitude
Calibration
Global sensitivity analysis
Validation
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Journal

T
transportation research part b: methodological
IF:
0
Papers:
78
Citations:
0

Organization

P
pompeu fabra university
Scholars:
423
Papers: 275
Citations: 4
U
University of Naples Federico II
Scholars:
4.6W
Papers: 3.6W
Citations: 51
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