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Improvements to the post-processing of weather forecasts using machine learning and feature selection

delete2026-05-08
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PRE
AI
K
Kazuma Iwase
T
Tomoyuki Takenawa *
DOI:10.1016/j.atmosres.2026.109037delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
• ML post-processing models are developed for three variables at 18 sites in Japan. • Surrounding-grid predictors improve accuracy by using spatial context. • Correlation-based feature selection removes redundant surrounding-grid inputs. • LightGBM gives lower RMSE than MSM, MSMG, and tested NN/CNN baselines. • Tweedie weighting improves threshold-based precipitation prediction.
Keywords:
Machine Learning
Weather Forecasting
Feature Selection
LightGBM
Precipitation Prediction

Journal

Atmospheric Research cover
Atmospheric Research
IF:
4.4
Papers:
1.1K
Citations:
2.2W

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