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Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

delete2018-02-27
delete361
PRE
AI
J
Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts *
W
W. J. Wouter Botzen
K
Keith Clarke
S
Susan L. Cutter
J
Jim W. Hall
B
Bruno Merz
E
Erwann Michel‐Kerjan
J
Jaroslav Myšiak
S
Swenja Surminski
H
Howard Kunreuther
DOI:10.1038/s41558-018-0085-1delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.
Keywords:
SOCIAL VULNERABILITY
CLIMATE-CHANGE
MITIGATION MEASURES
PROSPECT-THEORY
ADAPTATION
COMMUNICATION
MANAGEMENT
RESILIENCE
STRATEGIES
INSURANCE
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Key information extracted from the uploaded paper, including a brief overview, abstract, background, key highlights, visual analysis, and future outlook.

Journal

Nature Climate Change cover
Nature Climate Change
IF:
27.1
Papers:
4.4K
Citations:
5.4W

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V
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
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university of pennsylvania
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University of California System
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