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Modeling Corporate Bond Returns

delete2023-05-08
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PRE
AI
B
Bryan Kelly
DOI:10.1111/jofi.13233delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
We propose a conditional factor model for corporate bond returns with five factors and time-varying factor loadings. We have three main empirical findings. First, our factor model excels in describing the risks and returns of corporate bonds, improving over previously proposed models in the literature by a large margin. Second, our model recommends a systematic bond investment portfolio whose high out-of-sample Sharpe ratio suggests that the credit risk premium is notably larger than previously estimated. Third, we find closer integration between debt and equity markets than found in prior literature.
Keywords:
COMMON RISK-FACTORS
CROSS-SECTION
CONDITIONAL CAPM
VOLATILITY
MOMENTUM
SPREAD
EQUITY
MARKETS

Journal

Journal of Finance cover
Journal of Finance
IF:
9.5
Papers:
4.0K
Citations:
5.0W

Organization

A
Arizona State University
Scholars:
2.7W
Papers: 2.5W
Citations: 4.2W
Y
Yale University
Scholars:
6.5W
Papers: 6.0W
Citations: 10.0W
A
arizona state university-tempe
Scholars:
1.5W
Papers: 1.2W
Citations: 13
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