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Multi-model ensemble mean shows accelerating global below-ground warming
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DOI：10.1016/j.agrformet.2026.111382.png)
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Abstract
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• A three-stage warming of below-ground temperature (BGT) with post-1984 acceleration. • Winter (DJF) is the most sensitive season for BGT warming. • BGT anomalies with heterogeneity are largest over 60°N. • From historical to SSP5‑8.5, cold extremes +3.7 °C, warm extremes triple (4.78→15.45 °C). • Deep zero-flux boundaries reduce MMEM-related artifacts in MMEM BGT.
Keywords:
Soil temperature
Interdecadal variability
Seasonal variability
Shared socio-economic scenarios
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