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Never, Ever Getting Started: On Prospect Theory Without Commitment

delete2026-01-01
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PRE
AI
S
Sebastian Ebert *
P
Philipp Strack
DOI:10.1111/mafi.70028delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
Prospect theory is arguably the most prominent alternative to expected utility theory. We study the investment or gambling behavior of a prospect theory decision maker who is aware of his time-inconsistency but lacks commitment. For the empirically relevant prospect theory specifications, we obtain the extreme prediction that such a decision maker never gambles or invests in the stock market-even if expected gains are arbitrarily high. Our analysis illustrates some of the challenges in applying prospect theory to dynamic settings.
Keywords:
prospect theory
risk-taking
skewness preference
time inconsistency

Journal

M
Mathematical Finance
IF:
2.4
Papers:
24
Citations:
0

Organization

R
Ruprecht Karls University Heidelberg
Scholars:
5.6W
Papers: 4.3W
Citations: 66
Y
yale university
Scholars:
8.0K
Papers: 3.4K
Citations: 2