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New venue, same team, new problems? Crime patterns in an era of new venues and intra-metropolitan sport franchise migration
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DOI：10.1080/14413523.2026.2699515.png)
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Abstract
En 中文
While there is an existing body of research on elite sport venues and crime, very few studies have looked at the specific effects of constructing new sport venues and adding new sport events on crime patterns in cities. Examining new venues provides a natural experiment where we can study sport and ecological theories of crime rooted in routine activity and crime pattern theories. The present study looks at one such case by examining the changes in criminal activity that arose following the construction of Little Caesars Arena (LCA) in Detroit, Michigan within the U.S. We investigate over 950,000 reported crimes with spatial references aggregated into daily observations (n = 3,825) between 1 January 2013, and 22 June 2023 for the entire city and only neighborhoods near LCA. For analysis purposes, we employed negative binomial regressions on the entire dataset and datasets split into the periods before and after the arena opened. On average, there was no clear indication that reported crimes increased throughout the city on event days. There is an indication, though, that event days incurred an increase in reported crimes near the venues including a 10% increase on days that the NBA team played in LCA. This finding suggests a spatial and temporal shift in reported crimes following the construction of the new arena. From a practitioner’s perspective, concerns as to how large sport venues can impact local citizens and visitors negatively were supported by our findings, suggesting that planning stages should consider preemptive measures.
Keywords:
GIS
risk management
event management
externalities
environmental criminology
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