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Optimizing Pavement Maintenance with AI: A Data-Driven Framework Integrating Optimization and Machine Learning

delete2026-05-29
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OA
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T
Tiago Tamagusko *
S
Sérgio Copetti Callai
M
Matheus Gomes Correia
A
Adelino Ferreira
DOI:10.1007/s42947-026-00802-wdelete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
As global infrastructure ages under fiscal constraints, traditional Pavement Management Systems often rely on sequential workflows that ignore the dynamic impact of interventions on future deterioration. This paper introduces a data-driven framework integrating a recursive multi-year forecasting engine with network-level Genetic Algorithm (GA) optimization. Unlike static models, this approach establishes a dynamic feedback loop where maintenance decisions at year t update the pavement state inputs for the prediction model at year $$t+1$$ . The framework couples a Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), with hyperparameters tuned via Bayesian optimization (Optuna), trained on Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) data ( $$R^2=0.88$$ , $$RMSE=0.19$$ ) with a GA optimization module for resource allocation. Using a section-based splitting strategy to prevent data leakage, results show this recursive integration outperforms reactive strategies, improving network quality by 3% while reducing maintenance costs by 22%. This framework demonstrates the potential of recursive data-driven models to optimize life-cycle costs and reliability in modern pavement management.
Keywords:
Pavement management systems
Machine learning
Artificial intelligence
Genetic algorithm
Ensemble models
Maintenance planning
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Journal

International Journal of Pavement Research and Technology cover
International Journal of Pavement Research and Technology
IF:
2.5
Papers:
990
Citations:
2.4K

Organization

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institute of highway engineering
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4
Papers: 3
Citations: 0
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Invalid
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architecture
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183
Papers: 107
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errGupta, Aakash; Gowda, Sachin; Tiwari, Achyut; Gupta, Ashok Kumar
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Use of random forests regression for predicting IRI of asphalt pavements
err2018-11-01
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errGong, Hongren; Sun, Yiren; Shu, Xiang; Huang, Baoshan
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