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Persistence-robust surplus-lag Granger causality testing

delete2012-08-01
delete26
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D
Dietmar Bauer
A
Alex Maynard *
DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.01.023delete
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Abstract

Abstract

En 中文
Previous literature has introduced causality tests with conventional limiting distributions in I(0)/I(1) vector autoregressive (VAR) models with unknown integration orders, based on an additional surplus lag in the specification of the estimated equation, which is not included in the tests. By extending this surplus lag approach to an infinite order VARX framework, we show that it can provide a highly persistence-robust Granger causality test that accommodates i.a stationary, nonstationary, local-to-unity, long-memory, and certain (unmodelled) structural break processes in the forcing variables within the context of a single chi(2) null limiting distribution. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords:
Granger causality
VAR
Long-memory
Structural breaks
Forward rate unbiasedness
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Journal of Econometrics cover
Journal of Econometrics
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4
Papers:
5.2K
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University of Guelph
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